🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Biological-ness of race

Resolved :18.732.4
4
1
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction32.4 (21 - 46)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
21.02
32.36
45.97

What was the final result?18.7

Community Baseline Score
36.2
Community Peer Score
5.8
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Social Sciences
2016-2025 Leaderboard
New Zealand
United Kingdom
United States
David Chalmers
Australia women's national soccer team

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