19 comments
91 forecasters
Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?
12%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 12% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 26, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 28, 2019