🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?

Resolved :No12%
18
19
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction12% (7.1% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 12%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
69.9
Community Peer Score
8.3
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Materials science
Chemistry
Environmental science
Public health
Iron fertilization
Biology
Phytoplankton
Carbon sequestration
Harmful algal bloom

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