Question
What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?
Resolved:9.54Total Forecasters456
Community Prediction
10.4
(9.97 - 10.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <8.5 | 1.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 9.966 | — |
| median | 10.37 | — |
| upper 75% | 10.77 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >13 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?9.54
Community Peer Score
62.2
Community Baseline Score
2.5
Authors:
Opened:Feb 10, 2025
Closes:Feb 28, 2025
Resolves:Mar 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2025
Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?
20%
Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?
4%
What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?
10.5
Authors:
Opened:Feb 10, 2025
Closes:Feb 28, 2025
Resolves:Mar 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2025
Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?
20%
Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?
4%
What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?
10.5