53 comments
282 forecasters
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
52%chance
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Opened:Jan 12, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2020
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
17% chance
17
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65% chance
87
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
33% chance
10