25 forecasters

Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?

Mark Carneyresult: Yes

Chrystia Freeland27.5%

Someone else10.5%

Forecast Timeline

Mark Carney

Chrystia Freeland

Someone else

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 3, 2025

Closes:

Feb 3, 2025

Resolved:

Mar 14, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 3, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Chrystia Freeland exits Cabinet of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney

Associated Press•Sep 16, 2025

Mark Carney’s Canada: No Change In Sight

American Thinker•Sep 8, 2025

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