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5
55
forecasters
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5 comments
55 forecasters
Politics
1 more...
Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?
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Bridget Phillipson
33%
Lucy Powell
result:
Yes
Someone else
0.1%
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91%
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0.1%
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24.1%
Restore Britain
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4%
chance
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Will Starmer leave office in 2026?
80%
chance
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UK Labour to have female leader before 2030?
43%
chance
16 comments
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When will Starmer cease to be PM?
Current estimate
20 Sep 2026
11 comments
111 forecasters
Labour UK PM on January 1, 2030
39%
chance