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How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2020 presidential election?

To win the Presidency of the United States, a candidate must obtain 270 Electoral College votes out of a potential 538.

The greatest raw number of Electoral College votes ever received by a Democratic nominee is 523, or 98.49% of the available votes at the time, won by Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936. The smallest raw number of Electoral College votes ever received by a Democratic nominee is 13, or 2.42% of the available votes at the time, won by Walter Mondale in 1984. A list of previous Electoral College results can be found here.

This question asks: How many Electoral College votes will the official nominee of the Democratic Party receive in the 2020 presidential election?

There is a potential complication here: faithless electors. In many states, it is legally possible for an Electoral College elector to refuse to honor the vote of their state population and to cast their vote for someone else. To counter this potential complication, we will say that the Democratic candidate has 'won' whatever the final number of legally valid Electoral College votes certified by the United States Congress is in the first week of January 2021, accounting for the effect of any faithless electors.


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