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Will Donald Trump's first term end before the next supreme court appointment?


So far, Trump appointed two Justices to the Supreme Court of the United States - Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. There are currently no vacancies.

Will Donald Trump fail to appoint at least one more Justice to the Supreme Court before the end of his first term?

Resolution is positive if at least one of the following two conditions are fulfilled:

  1. Donald Trump fails to send the nomination of at least one new Supreme Court Justice to the Senate.

  2. Donald Trump sends the nomination of at least one new Supreme Court Justice to the Senate but no nominated Justice is sworn in before the end of his first term, for whatever reason.

For the purposes of this question, any situation in which Trump is temporarily not exercising his office (e.g., Cheney was Acting President when Bush had surgery) will not preclude a positive resolution, as long as he continues to be the President in the technical constitutional sense.

This question resolves on the last day of Trump's (first) term in the office of the President. If it resolves positively, this question closes two days prior to the date when resolution is triggered.

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