17 comments
172 forecasters
Will the average world temperature in 2020 be higher than in 2019?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 14, 2020
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
2% chance
631
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20% chance
142
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
98 forecasters