34 comments
99 forecasters
Will California have a wildfire among the 10 most destructive in state history in 2020?
95%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:Aug 27, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2020
Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, before 2031?
47% chance
70
Will any U.S. state experience a permanent population decline of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
5% chance
22
Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?
55% chance
12