Question

Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025?

Resolved:Yes

13 comments13

Total Forecasters123

Community Prediction

90%

(85% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

34.4

Community Baseline Score

60.2

Authors:

Langley

Opened:

Feb 17, 2025

Closes:

Mar 17, 2025

Resolves:

Apr 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2025

🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

Geopolitics

2025 Leaderboard

Europe to Escape New Trump Pharmaceutical Tariffs

Newsweek•Aug 8, 2025

EU Sets 15% Tariff Ceiling for Chip Exports to U.S., Despite New Levies

•Aug 7, 2025

Trump order lowering tariffs on EU autos still days away, source says

•Aug 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

66%

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

73%

Authors:

Langley

Opened:

Feb 17, 2025

Closes:

Mar 17, 2025

Resolves:

Apr 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2025

🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

Geopolitics

2025 Leaderboard

Europe to Escape New Trump Pharmaceutical Tariffs

Newsweek•Aug 8, 2025

EU Sets 15% Tariff Ceiling for Chip Exports to U.S., Despite New Levies

•Aug 7, 2025

Trump order lowering tariffs on EU autos still days away, source says

•Aug 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

66%

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

73%