Question

Will President Trump issue a new presidential action delaying or revoking the tariffs on Canada before March 4, 2025?

Resolved:Annulled

121 comments121

Total Forecasters775

Community Prediction

24%

(15% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 24%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 10, 2025

Closes:

Mar 3, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

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CBS•Jul 3, 2025

Status of U.S. Bilateral Trade Negotiations as the July 9 Deadline Approaches

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Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

65%

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

65%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 10, 2025

Closes:

Mar 3, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

Tariffs could surge on July 9 with 90-day pause set to end. Here's what experts think could happen.

CBS•Jul 3, 2025

Status of U.S. Bilateral Trade Negotiations as the July 9 Deadline Approaches

•Jul 2, 2025

‘I’m going to send letters’: the deadline for Trump’s ‘reciprocal’ trade tariffs is looming

•Jul 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

65%

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

65%