Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
447
comments
4.4k
forecasters
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
0.1%
chance
Share
Predict
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Oct 13, 2016
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 14, 2016
Technology
Space
Similar Questions
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
17%
chance
2.5k
Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?
0.1%
chance
367
Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
17%
chance
108
Show More Questions