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448
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4.4k
forecasters
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
0.1%
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Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Oct 13, 2016
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 14, 2016
Technology
Space
News Match
'New Glenn' Rocket Nails It: Blue Origin Makes Mars Leap
Red State
•
Nov 15, 2025
Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin launches New Glenn rocket destined for Mars
Independent
•
Nov 14, 2025
See Jeff Bezos’ Rocket Pioneer New Route To Mars In NASA Launch
Forbes
•
Nov 7, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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