Question

Before April 1, 2025, will China seize control of Second Thomas Shoal?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
20%
(20% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
1.9
Community Baseline Score
65.5
Opened:Feb 13, 2025
Closes:Feb 13, 2025
Resolves:Apr 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2025
Include Bots:Yes