Question

Will a third-party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters214
Community Prediction
3%
(2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
89.4
Community Peer Score
7.9
Opened:Jan 22, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Nov 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 24, 2020