🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will a third-party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?

Resolved :No3%
15
70
Total Forecasters214
Community Prediction3% (2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
89.4
Community Peer Score
7.9
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Ross Perot
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Democratic Party (US)
2020 US presidential election
Republican Party (US)
John B. Anderson

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