🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?

Resolved :Above upper bound100k
14
95
Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction100k (100k - 100k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
...
>100k
>100k
>100k
78.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
91.4
Community Peer Score
53.8
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
United Nations
China
Thailand
Wuhan
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
World Health Organization

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