Question
When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?
Total Forecasters358
Community Prediction2042-08-19 (2035-10-02 - 2054-01-06)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 2035 | — |
median | 2042 | — |
upper 75% | 2054 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2100-01-01 | 4.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100