M

Question

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

Total Forecasters358
Community Prediction2042-08-19 (2035-10-02 - 2054-01-06)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2035
median2042
upper 75%2054
Upper bound
>2100-01-014.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100

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