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631 forecasters
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
2%chance
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Opened:Feb 27, 2025
Closes:Nov 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
98 forecasters
Will there be a heat wave that kills at least one million people in a single month before 2050?
39% chance
31
Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?
31% chance
50