15 forecasters

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

5%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 21, 2025