Question
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
Apr 2064
(Oct 2041 - 2089)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2041 | — |
| median | Apr 2064 | — |
| upper 75% | 2089 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 14.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2025