Question

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?

Resolved:No

28

Total Forecasters314

Community Prediction

80%

(76% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-131.4

Community Peer Score

27.8

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 27, 2025

Closes:

May 17, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 14, 2025

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

2025 Leaderboard

How Poland’s Next President Will Boost the Far Right

Time•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

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Authors:

Opened:

Feb 27, 2025

Closes:

May 17, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 2, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 14, 2025

Kiko Llaneras Tournament 🔮

2025 Leaderboard

How Poland’s Next President Will Boost the Far Right

Time•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey until the next Turkish presidential election?

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?