Question
By what year will there be a permanently inhabited lunar base with at least five crew members, operational for six consecutive months?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
Apr 2038
(Feb 2033 - Aug 2046)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2033 | — |
| median | Apr 2038 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2046 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2066 | 2.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 24, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2059
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 28, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Mar 24, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2059
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 28, 2025