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3 forecasters
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 30, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 30, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 3, 2025