37 forecasters

Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?

40%chance

40%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 16, 2025

Closes:

Mar 17, 2025

Resolved:

Apr 8, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 17, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

S&P 500 Set To Surge 30%?

Forbes•Sep 15, 2025

Stock Market Outlook: How Much S&P 500 Could Drop on Hot Inflation

Business Insider•Sep 11, 2025

Stock Market Outlook: How Much S&P 500 Could Drop on Hot Inflation

Business Insider•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?