Question

Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?

Resolved:No

93 comments93

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction

40%

(35% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

0.8

Authors:

BenWilson

Opened:

Mar 16, 2025

Closes:

Mar 17, 2025

Resolves:

Apr 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 17, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

The S&P 500 is starting to close its 2025 gap to foreign stocks as Trump leans in to tariff fights

CNBC•Jul 12, 2025

The most bullish S&P 500 forecast out there on Wall Street: 7,000 by year-end

CNBC•Jul 11, 2025

Why one Wall Street bear says he still sees a 12% correction for stocks in the 2nd half of 2025

Business Insider•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Authors:

BenWilson

Opened:

Mar 16, 2025

Closes:

Mar 17, 2025

Resolves:

Apr 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 17, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

The S&P 500 is starting to close its 2025 gap to foreign stocks as Trump leans in to tariff fights

CNBC•Jul 12, 2025

The most bullish S&P 500 forecast out there on Wall Street: 7,000 by year-end

CNBC•Jul 11, 2025

Why one Wall Street bear says he still sees a 12% correction for stocks in the 2nd half of 2025

Business Insider•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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