131 forecasters

Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

58%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 17, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 18, 2020

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch