Question
When will the United States admit a new state?
Total Forecasters112
Community Prediction
Dec 2036
(11 Jun 2030 - Apr 2049)
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CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 11 Jun 2030 | — |
median | Dec 2036 | — |
upper 75% | Apr 2049 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>Dec 2050 | 21.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2020