Question
When will the United States admit a new state?
Total Forecasters114
Community Prediction
Oct 2036
(17 Jun 2030 - Dec 2048)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 17 Jun 2030 | — |
median | Oct 2036 | — |
upper 75% | Dec 2048 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>Dec 2050 | 20.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Apr 15, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 17, 2020