Question

If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?

4
8
47 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 47

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DurationMe
Less than 30 days
35.5%
30 days
7.8%
31-60 days
16.8%
61-90 days
12.9%
91 days or more
26.9%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 17, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2025