8 comments
100 forecasters
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Opened:Mar 14, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2020
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1.5% chance
103
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
Mar 2059
(Aug 2047 - >2100)
13 forecasters