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5 forecasters

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5 forecasters

Which party will win the 2025 Runcorn and Helsby by-election?

Labour54.8%

Reform UKresult: Yes

Conservative3.2%

Green0.2%

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7 comments78 forecasters

Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?

Conservative Party0.1%

Labour Party74.8%

Restore Britain0.7%

5 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

4 comments6 forecasters

Seats won per party in next UK general election 2029

Labour Party99.7

Conservative Party85.4

Liberal Democrats70.6

28 comments823 forecasters

Will Starmer leave office in 2026?

16 comments31 forecasters

When will Starmer cease to be PM?

Current estimate

11 comments111 forecasters

Labour UK PM on January 1, 2030

2 comments20 forecasters

Will Rayner join "Your Party"?

3 comments19 forecasters

England prison population rate be 5 years later after Labour win?

Current estimate