Question
What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?
Total Forecasters379
Community Prediction
9.86%
(8.08% - 11.8%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 8.081% | — |
| median | 9.863% | — |
| upper 75% | 11.75% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >12% | 22.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027
