Question

Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?

Resolved:No

53 comments53

Total Forecasters228

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

45.4

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Feb 11, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2020

Economy & Business

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Is $15 an hour enough? Only for DINKs in these states, data shows

•Jul 1, 2025

Minimum wage increasing in over a dozen cities and 3 states on July 1

USA Today•Jul 1, 2025

All the states where minimum wage will rise in July

Independent•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US federal minimum wage be raised?

04 May 2027

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

33%

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

77%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Feb 11, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2020

Economy & Business

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Is $15 an hour enough? Only for DINKs in these states, data shows

•Jul 1, 2025

Minimum wage increasing in over a dozen cities and 3 states on July 1

USA Today•Jul 1, 2025

All the states where minimum wage will rise in July

Independent•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US federal minimum wage be raised?

04 May 2027

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

33%

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

77%