Question
How many journalists in the US will face criminal charges related to their work before 2027?
Total Forecasters352
Community Prediction
36.6 journalists
(13.7 journalists - 70.8 journalists)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 13.69 | — |
| median | 36.61 | — |
| upper 75% | 70.84 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >200 | 4.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2027