448 forecasters

Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?

20%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 28, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch