Question

When will an autonomous car defeat human-driven cars in an official Formula 1 race?

Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
Jul 2039
(Sep 2034 - Aug 2042)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Sep 2034
medianJul 2039
upper 75%Aug 2042
Upper bound
>Dec 20503.4%
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Opened:Apr 5, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2050