Question

When will an autonomous car defeat human-driven cars in an official Formula 1 race?

Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
Oct 2039
(Apr 2037 - Feb 2042)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Apr 2037
medianOct 2039
upper 75%Feb 2042
Upper bound
>Dec 20502.5%
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Opened:Apr 5, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2050