Question

Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?

Resolved:Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction

90%

(83% - 92%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

6.7

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 10, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

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What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the percent deduction allowed for qualified business income (QBI) in tax year 2026?

29.8

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Apr 10, 2025

Closes:

Oct 1, 2025

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2025

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•Jul 9, 2025

One Big Beautiful Bill Explained: Stinson LLP Law Firm

•Jul 9, 2025

Key Tax Changes in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

•Jul 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

75%

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the percent deduction allowed for qualified business income (QBI) in tax year 2026?

29.8