Question

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

68
111
Total Forecasters520
Community Prediction
85%
(70% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 5, 2020
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence