121 forecasters

What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?

Eliminatedresult: Yes

Reduced17.7%

Neither eliminated nor reduced9.1%

Forecast Timeline

Eliminated

Reduced

Neither eliminated nor reduced

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 10, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 4, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 15, 2025

Fiscal Showdown 2025

Environment & Climate

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

GM takes $1.6bn hit as EV tax credit expires in US

Al Jazeera•Oct 14, 2025

GM to take a $1.6 billion hit as tax incentives for EVs are slashed and emission rules ease

Associated Press•Oct 14, 2025

Ford cancels extension of $7,500 EV lease tax credit program

USA Today•Oct 10, 2025

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