Question

What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Y (PTC) clean energy production tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?

10
78 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 43

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45Y outcomeMe
2025-2026 sunset w/o safe harbor
5.2%
2025-2026 sunset w/ safe harbor
27%
2027-2028 sunset w/o safe harbor
5.8%
2027-2028 sunset w/ safe harbor
10.7%
2029-2031 sunset w/o safe harbor
2.1%
2029-2031 sunset w/ safe harbor
2.6%
No sunset reduction before 2026
46.6%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2025