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203 forecasters

AI Technical Benchmarks

Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?

ResolvedYes

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10 comments53 forecasters

Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030

Current estimate

1 comment30 forecasters

Exascale connectome mapped by June 2031

0 comments25 forecasters

Dates Large AI Models Released

24 comments98 forecasters

Greatest Computation Used in AI Training

13 comments26 forecasters

Most Expensive AI Training Run by Year

22 comments30 forecasters

GPT-3 scaling plateau in < 3 OOMs

3 comments28 forecasters

How larger will AI from non-authoritarian states be in 2030?

Current estimate

3.6×10²⁵ FLOP

0 comments9 forecasters

Chinese Org Trains on > 1500-TFLOP GPUs

Current estimate