62 comments
203 forecasters
Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 22, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Resolved:Mar 28, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2020