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Are we on path for IPCC's 'middle-of-the-road' scenario for the deployment of renewables?

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has outlined various illustrative model pathways for limiting global warming to 1.5°C by the end of the century. Its third pathway (P3) is the 'middle-of-the-road' scenario in terms of our ability to transition our energy supply toward renewables. In this scenario, we will continue emitting greenhouse gasses (GHGs) until the end of the century, and we need to employ some carbon dioxide removal (CDR) techniques, such as through the deployment of Bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), to achieve a concentration of GHG consistent with the 1.5°C target. According the (IPCC, 2018):

P3: A middle-of-the-road scenario in which societal as well as technological development follows historical patterns. Emissions reductions are mainly achieved by changing the way in which energy and products are produced, and to a lesser degree by reductions in demand.

According to the (IPCC, 2018), P3 is consistent with a share of 48% or less of renewables energy used in electricity production in 2030.

In 2016, 22.66% of total electricity was produced using renewable energy, according to World Bank data.

Will renewable energy contribute between 48.00% and 25.00% (inclusive) to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030?


This resolves positively if renewable energy contributes between 48.00% and 25.00% (inclusive) to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030, according to World Bank data.


Historical data can be found here. Please make a copy by clicking "file" and then "make a copy" if you wish to edit it. If you make useful additions to the dataset, please share the file in the comments.


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