Question
Will it turn out that Covid-19 originated inside a research lab in Hubei?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters881
Community Prediction
6%
(1% - 15%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2021
Resolves:May 27, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2020
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
28%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
Authors:
Opened:Feb 24, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2021
Resolves:May 27, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2020
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
28%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%