Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
113
589
forecasters
58
113 comments
589 forecasters
Health & Pandemics
1 more...
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (113)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
2 comments
96 forecasters
Will Bird Flu be declared a PHEIC before 2030?
53%
chance
12 comments
25 forecasters
Will there be a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
5%
chance
10 comments
57 forecasters
5Y after AGI, engineered pandemic?
5%
chance
2 comments
21 forecasters
WHO announce non-H5N1 Pandemic in 2030
18%
chance
1 comment
9 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?
50%
chance
18 comments
103 forecasters
Hantavirus PHEIC before 2027?
1%
chance
1 comment
18 forecasters
H5N1 pandemic before 2030
29%
chance
0 comments
26 forecasters
Recurring lockdowns during 2030-2050
30%
chance