Question

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Resolved:No
58
113
Total Forecasters589
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
12.1
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Feb 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2020
Health & Pandemics
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