Question
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters588
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
59.8
Community Peer Score
12.1
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2020
